Search This Blog

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

好耐無寫blog

好耐無寫blog,因為掛住找工。結果今日interview氣死我,不過係到唔講了。

講返大市,跌,我估未完,就係咁。會入貨,2899 真係衰左,唔理。牛市目標347。我何能要俾人使放3968的蟹貨,會蝕三萬? 不知道,大約係咁。多左的錢可能會入347,老實說,我睇好
347 > 939 > 2628 > 941, 3968 > 1800 , 2899

而家我的straddle 都係輸緊錢,真係氣死我。

有幾樣要講講,今次發現期權係要每日睇住,我發現佢可以睇到大戶行踪。遲點發表下我的心得。暫時高位191xx 行2500點..大約166xx,睇下準不準吧。


近日發覺有樣野叫decision tree ,名就係人都知,但真係計係上來好難,睇下可唔可以用係投資到。

Monday, June 15, 2009

今日動作

沽了347 賺 13.38-12.6 * 2000 - 250 = 1300

目標無變...十手2628
做左sp @ 25 Sep 四手 收 0.9 * 4000= 3600

公司blcok 左我login 去自己個blog..激死

期權倉:
sp 2628 Sep @ 25 * 4
sp 2628 Jun @ 26
sp 2628 Jul @ 29
sc 2628 Jun @ 32 * 2
c 2628 Dec @ 30 *3
p 2628 Dec @ 30 *3
sc 3968 Jun @ 14.61 <--重點: DITM - Deep in the money

遲d 攪攪個941 同1800

之前入的2899蝕緊...同我的蟹貨一樣...唔理

Friday, June 12, 2009

折倉

今日平左 2628 @ Dec 28 蚊的straddle 4 pairs

Put 28 Dec = 2.47 - 3.26 = -0.79
Call 28 Dec = 5.26 - 3.23 = 2.03
==> win = 1.24 * 4000 - 400 = around $ 4500

其它倉不理....今日可能高開低收...對下星期股市不利
加多一句,昨日期指未平倉合約小4xxx張 + 期權 d put 多個 call

Thursday, June 11, 2009

2899.hk

today I bought 2 hands 2899 @ 7.41
just thought gold will break 1000 within 6 months.
quite a medium term investment


347.HK is good value by fundamental analysis
this company will maximize it productivity in the near future.
this is my bull trend pick. I only got 1 hand. I may sell it later. If the interest rate is increase, all the commodity will drop and this 2 company maybe underperform. I need to think think about this situation and plan my accumulation.

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

建倉

今日入左 short put July 2628 @29 收 1.91
之後下午入一手347 @ 12.6
唔係太驚佢大跌

Friday, June 5, 2009

再做 Long Straddle

今日再做三對 Long Straddle:
Buy call Dec @ 30 $3.74 * 3
Buy put Dec @ 30 $3.78 * 3
IV 大約係41-42

今日做係博會爆邊,暫時做左NR5 , d range + vol 都細左
下星期美國會改指數股份+ hsi 都會 + 賣美債....
所以博佢爆邊.....

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Short Call

今日我出左去做野,我的經紀(朋友) 打來,問我平唔平我的straddle,可以賺四千幾,我當時諗諗下唔平。走左去做short call 2628 June @32 兩手 收 0.86 * 2000 - 100 -2 =$1618

唔平係佢再上的話係可以賺多點,做short call係破$32 的話我可以賺更多,唔驚。跌的話暫時應該睇$29 到平倉,加上我的short call 會變得更安全。暫時個straddle 好掂,如果今日收市市價計有機會賺三千五(扣左commission)

佢話我做左之後幾分鐘個options (莊) 就唔開價,甚至係其它 stock options都係,之後大市就真插五百點,佢都唔明,你都唔好話。

之後佢個total loss risk tolerance 我諗我可以諗諗,暫時諗落係work的。老實說,我有一筆錢係個a/c到,但無用到,技術+心理問題,佢個計劃應該有得諗。實行個時再post,我自己都要計計,順便改善下自己。而家我睇係大型上落市,成交最好變細,之後又會爆邊

倉有:
正股 crab 貨一大堆
2628 sp June $26
2628 sc June $32 * 2
3968 sc $14.61 * 5 <--這個暫時嚴重價內,有問題
2628 Dec $28 call * 4
2628 Dec $28 put * 4

再講,今次 straddle 做得幾好 IV算低,而家IV已經微升但都唔算高。我以前睇指數options係睇個大OI倉位算,諗諗下如果IV低大戶會唔會係買,而前個排IV高,大戶係做short呢? 情況大約係IV 40左右係分水嶺?

近日又好似見到遠期stock options的put 係較平時貴d,唔通代表未來會大跌/ 跌的機會較高? 香港的put感覺上好似係IV高d 的。

有機會的話我會再用straddle + 我自己的 NR7 / spring coil 。 自己search 下個blog la...