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Friday, April 27, 2007

買入 瑞安 272.hk

本來都唔想買....SET 左個價..明日就狂插...真係wtf。
又要坐boat

琴日睇返佢份annual report, 前景應該ok,最少容易睇。佢地段有上海,坑洲,重慶等地,發展應該好好,但可能要幾長的時間。上海睇佢個勢係重點開發,只要中國地產ok,問題不大。加上有東尼推介,我都信得佢ge.....

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

股資教訓

3328 短炒唔係太成功,入股太少,要學下position sizing。1800 普普通通,大市跌,乜都跌,所以短炒都最後估後市。3328我諗當佢出A 股個時就會發力,而家應該唔上唔落。
今後我諗我要大膽d 買股票,尤其一日之落大跌5% 之後又升返晒個d 優質股,好似3968咁樣。計個d 基礎分析要快點,唔係唔知就入唔到市。
突然係網到俾我一個啟發,就係有個人每年只入一次股票,真係高手中的高手。

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

買入 中國交通建設

一早係公司買入左1800.HK。睇住個市,一開始上到$10.5 之後慢慢跌落去,諗住$10.2 之後買唔到變$10.3 之後佢去到10.4 諗諗下變唔變10.4 追佢呢。
之後問下我同學,佢係msn 人肉報價機,佢話9.8 - 10 先好買,市跌先買。琴日有看到一篇文話10.5 有大阻力。就係我諗唔諗住取消個command時就買左,以家輸緊錢,有點驚。可能要回到10 蚊補返個裂口位先得。

心理壓力好大,所以d 人話paper trade 係無乜用就係咁解。

其它策略係抽新股,個舊錢慢慢儲到大,等調整或者股災來,今次日線rsi 一到超買就要買la..唔係又走寶。可能佢會再跌,但係平均買入法嘛,唔好為左少少錢而乜都無買咁慘。

Friday, April 13, 2007

Successful Swing Trading


No two patterns behave alike. Triangles and pennants are ideal shapes that rarely occur with perfection in the real world.


Three strikes and you’re out. Price should break out of a pattern no later than the third time a key price point is tested, to the upside or downside. Failure of price to reach the third test in either direction favors a breakout in the opposite direction.


Use the rule of alternation to predict how a pattern will develop. Corrections should alternate between simple and complex shapes in a series of impulses.


Every pattern has an underlying positive or negative appearance that represents the likely outcome. So if it looks bullish or bearish, it probably is.


The sharp breakout above an ascending triangle often signals the climax of an entire series of rallies.


Rising wedges can lead to very powerful upside breakouts, but they are too undependable to enter until the move is underway.


Demand perfection on the inverse head and shoulders reversal. They attract attention only when every rule is fulfilled: the neckline must line up correctly, the two shoulder lows must be at the same price, and the breakout must pierce other known resistance (MAs, gaps, etc.) on high volume.


Double triangles that form after strong rallies are very bullish for a new move of equal size to the one that occurred just before the first triangle.


The contraction in price range and volatility that follows a new pattern seeks a natural balance point corresponding with the location of the new impulse. Use Bollinger Bands and rate of change indicators to identify this pivot in advance.


Every pattern is a solvable puzzle defined by support, resistance, and volatility. Look for highs and lows to point to a natural exit spot in time. Volatility should decrease into this apex and expand out of it.


Volume should dry up as each of the three rallies comprising the head and shoulders pattern uses up all the available bull power. The lower the volume on the right shoulder rally, the higher the odds that the neckline will eventually break.


Excellent long trades on the head and shoulders can be initiated at the right shoulder neckline when accumulation diverges positively from the bearish pattern. Also watch closely when the neckline breaks but price immediately pops back above it and indicates that few stops were waiting.


The deeper the downslope of the head and shoulders neckline, the greater the prospect for a bearish break. Stay away from ascending necklines completely. These patterns easily evolve into sideways motion.


Calculate the Fibonacci relationship between the left shoulder peak and the head length of the head and shoulders pattern. If the left shoulder topped at a Fib retracement such as 62%, the right shoulder should go no higher and may be a good short sale entry point.

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Sping Coil

Trade preparation requires close visual inspection of the congestion. Look for overall narrowing range over time rather than an isolated NR7 print. Check proportionality of the current range to the preceding trend. As the old wisdom states, the bigger the move, the broader the base. If RSI or Stochastics just begins to roll off the overbought state, the congestion likely has a long way to go before it can absorb the last rally. Remember that the most promising patterns slowly narrow toward a natural apex or ejection point before a major breakout.Volume must trend downward as congestion progresses. The lower-pane histogram should show declining interest with few jagged upticks. Intervening volume spikes that do not trigger immediate expansion reduce the odds of a clean breakout. General price direction should counter the prevailing trend but not accelerate to the downside. The most powerful trends will erupt after a correction that does not violate any significant S/R. Use Fibonacci and moving averages to cross-verify the terminus of this countertrend extreme

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

買交行 3328.hk

今日買左交行,係公司set command買。價位係8.33。一手咁大把
有機會坐艘,不過好股,衰左當買教訓。
技術分析琴日睇個時好好,買左再睇有小小問題,可能要回一回先再上。
今次咁勇係希望可以打破自己的心理關口(太小心),攪到自己唔咁入。下次可能買347 / 358 不過睇下到時點la...

Sunday, April 8, 2007

2007-04-08 大市睇法

今次有點睇錯市,不過唔緊要。今次跌完有點不尋常係個市唔夠靜,好快就有返人氣。有其會做雙頂加假突破之後來個大跌。我暫時都諗唔到理由佢會跌落去,唯有抄股不抄市。